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What Is Saunders’ Skill Set Anyway? (Hint: It’s Moving in the Right Direction) (3 of 3)

In order to evaluate Michael Saunders’ potential upside, we need to decide which skill-set classification he fits into.  We have two choices. Based on his career totals, he’s a “Third Tier” hitter who is relatively one-dimensional (power, but not huge power) and strikes out a lot; Based on 2012-14 alone, he’s a “Second Tier” hitter…

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Applying Our New Tools to Nelson Cruz (1st of 3)

I keep dinking and fussing around with my “new toolbox” — and I’ll publish the whole set of explanatory material eventually, but events now dictate that it be actually employed in the field. So off we go, and we’ll explain what we need to along the way. Nelson Cruz “Flowchart Profile” 1. Does he consistently…

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Our Cruz Hitting Profile Explained (2nd of 3)

In the first part we used our not-yet-fully-revealed but “fully-operational” … [its a trap!  not really] … Flowchart Profiler to zero in on Nelson Cruz’ non-random skill set. We found: Cruz has the all-important power factor: consistently hitting the ball hard in the air. Cruz does not consistently hit line drives for hits-in-play. Cruz does…

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How Much Will Cruz Regress to the Mean? (3rd of 3)

In the first parts we identified Nelson Cruz’ Flowchart Profile (Power: yes; Line Drives: no; Plate Skills: no), and learned that among hitters with that skill-set his career stats (.829 OPS) are considerably above the mean (.754 OPS). More than that, he’s coming off two seasons (.833 and .859) that are above his career norms.…