If Franklin to the Mets, What Pitchers to Root For Coming Back?

Usdollar100front== Way Out in Front, But So What … ==

Rumor mill says the quasi-official most likely landing spot for Nick Franklin is the New York Mets.

Reportedly the Mets need a shortstop, and are making a determination as to Franklin’s fitness to fill that spot on a daily basis.

This we know: the Mariners did not clear a path for Franklin to become the next shortstop even though the need was there.

This we don’t know: whether the Mariners did the above because they did not think Franklin could hack it or because Brad Miller came along and they concluded that Miller was more advanced with the glove and the bat.

In the alternate universe in which there is no Brad Miller and Spock has a goatee, is Franklin still playing shortstop every day?  If we only knew …

Guess the Mets want to know too.

===

But let’s just say that Franklin passes the Metropolitan scrutiny, and get shipped to Queens.  Reports are that the Mariners want a high-end pitching prospect back.  That may sound strange, but with Danny Hultzen in semi-permanent limbo, there is a pretty significant gap between the current MLB-ready crop and the “next generation” still in its teens (Luiz Gohara, Victor Sanchez, Tyler Pike, Edwin Diaz, etc.).

So we ran the Mets through the ol’ Spectometer to see who jumped out.  We tried to limit our search to guys older than the Mariner teen crew.  The names that came up are ranked by Spectometer “composite” rating.

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Goal < 1% Goal < 6% Goal < 14% Goal < .100 Goal > 20% Strong prospect > 100
Logan Taylor 21 “+1″ 0.00% 7.20% 12.80% 0.070 28.00% 141 125 166
Steven Matz 22 “+2″ 0.98% 8.80% 13.45% 0.082 27.63% 126 122 148
Rafael Montero 22 “-1″ 0.97% 5.67% 11.51% 0.091 23.99% 134 112 147
Noah Syndergaard 20 “-2″ 2.33% 5.93% 13.14% 0.133 28.18% 135 109 145
Cory Mazzoni 23 “+1″ 1.50% 6.74% 13.11% 0.108 26.22% 130 114 144
Luis Cessa 21 “+1″ 2.05% 3.54% 10.80% 0.122 23.09% 138 106 144
Gabriel Ynoa 20 “0” 1.66% 2.95% 8.67% 0.105 19.56% 137 106 144
Jack Leathersich 22 “-1″ 1.10% 16.54% 21.69% 0.100 37.50% 99 143 142
Michael Fulmer 20 “-1″ 0.00% 9.89% 12.64% 0.039 22.53% 112 127 139
Octavio Acosta 22 “+1″ 1.52% 6.60% 12.69% 0.106 24.37% 126 111 137
Rainy Lara 22 “+2″ 1.17% 4.85% 11.65% 0.101 20.00% 125 105 130
Matthew Bowman 22 “+1″ 1.53% 6.70% 13.60% 0.118 22.22% 117 103 120

I promise I picked the names off the spreadsheet based on the numbers and age-arc before consulting any top prospect lists.  I was not familiar with any of them. Happily, the Spectometer concurs with most of said lists.

  • Snydergaard is their Taijuan Walker.  No. 1 in both Baseball America and mlb.com ratings.  Just 20, but dominating AA.  Obviously at the very top of the list, and, therefore, probably unattainable.
  • Montero is the guy the New York press started speculating about regarding Franklin.  No. 3 in both BA and mlb.com.  Would the M’s swap for another New York prospect named “Montero”?  Considering his excellent season between AA and AAA at 22, maybe.  Notice that he hit the benchmark in every column.
  • Leathersich is the only reliever I left on the list, and only because of his mind-blowing strikeout rate as a lefty.  Walks a ton — a really massive ton — but otherwise, wow.  Interesting, anyway.
  • Matz was old for his level, but he’s been battling injuries since being drafted in the second round in 2009.  After Syndergaard and Montero, the lefty is the guy Mets watchers seem most excited about.  But one season at Low-A at age 22 isn’t much to go on (though it does coincide with what the scouting reports say about the guy).
  • The rest are all interesting, but not top-10-in-the-organization interesting.  And poor Logan Taylor isn’t getting any Met-fan love at all.  Maybe they should take notice.

===

Montero-for-Franklin?  Well, you can’t reject a trade just because the name and the city correspond to a rotten deal in the past.

This Montero is obviously polished and got 16 strong starts in AAA last year after dominating in AA in the first part of the season.

And the Mets are posturing that they won’t give him up for Franklin.  So maybe that indicates it would be a fair deal.

I’m sure from our side, most folks would want more for Franklin than a prospect pitcher, but is his market value going to get more than that?  It probably depends on how good he looks at shortstop, and if it looks like he can hit with more authority right handed (as we’ve been through at length).

We’ll try to look at Met hitters as soon as we can.

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2 thoughts on “If Franklin to the Mets, What Pitchers to Root For Coming Back?

  1. Wow! Am I missing something or does it seem that the Mets develop pitchers much better than we do. That is seriously a lot of guys performing much better than average. As much as I like our prospects, we wouldn’t see that much red!

    • Well, I just picked out the Mets guys who rated well, and actually, the M’s would be pretty similar. The young starters Gohara, Diaz, Sanchez, Unsworth and Huijer all grade out really well, and Pike did in 2012 before taking a step back in 2013. That group appears to be truly outstanding. And we have a crop of relievers who grade out sky high: Smith, Leone, Kohlscheen, and, in lower levels, Pagan, McCoy and Munoz. And that’s not even counting Walker, Paxton, E-Ram or Maurer — let alone Hultzen (who rated the best of that group when he pitched). Like I said, the gap is at the AA-AAA level where our top guys are Elias, A. Fernandez and Landazuri, and they aren’t showing up as anything too exciting. In that regard, Rafael Montero might be a good fit given the uncertainty of Hultzen.

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